Use a conditional normalizing flow to replace inner-loop MCMC when sampling states or parameters under progressively tighter neural energy or likelihood constraints. The flow is trained online from recent live sets, and proposals are corrected by importance weighting and resampling, so flow bias does not directly corrupt the nested estimate.
Wrap a neural ODE, recurrent state-space model, or learned world model with a split-conformal prediction tube that is valid between irregularly sampled observations. Calibrate a pointwise residual quantile at observed times and inflate it at an unobserved time according to its distance from the nearest observed time and an estimated bound on the true and predicted trajectory slopes.
Train a cheap neural surrogate globally, then use an ensemble or bootstrap covariance to identify inputs near the estimated upper-tail boundary and inputs where high-fidelity correction is uncertain. Fit a Tikhonov-regularized residual model on the acquired expensive labels and use the corrected predictor for CVaR estimation or risk-constrained optimization. The acquisition policy deliberately ignores easy central-region samples unless they influence the tail threshold.
Wrap a stochastic neural predictor with a robust multimodal aggregation procedure: sample the predictor at perturbed inputs, cluster the resulting outputs, trim an alpha-fraction of outliers separately inside every cluster, and return a weighted mixture rather than one global average. This should preserve distinct plausible modes while suppressing adversarial or heavy-tailed samples that would otherwise distort the prediction.
Replace independent Gaussian diffusion noise across sequence positions with a positive, persistent variance chain and conditionally Gaussian perturbations. This gives the denoiser exposure to heavy tails and volatility clustering without requiring a more expressive neural architecture; keep the denoiser blind to the realized variance when the goal is for generated samples to retain this structure.
Paper: Denoising Subordinated Probabilistic Models: Diffusion with a Tempered-Stable Volatility Clock, and What the Noise Mechanism Actually ControlsarXiv:2607.19218