A Universal Control Budget for First-Passage Kinetics
arXiv:2608.06368
2026
Dynamics
1 ideas extracted · analyzed Aug 31, 2026
What the math gives to ML
The paper establishes a universal control-budget theorem for the mean first-passage time of any finite continuous-time Markov chain: the logarithmic sensitivity to each individual transition rate has magnitude at most one, while the sensitivities over all rates sum to -1. This gives a quantitative conservation law for completion-time control: globally accelerating all rates rescales completion time inversely, and no single edge can contribute more than one logarithmic unit of control. A direct neural-network transfer is a stochastic adaptive-computation architecture whose layer transitions form a finite Markov chain and whose absorbing state represents halting; the theorem then supplies an exact sensitivity monitor and principled rate-allocation rule for learned early-exit or routing policies.
Ideas from this paper
Unverified
2026
Represent stochastic layer execution, branching, retries, and early exit as a finite continuous-time Markov chain, with the completed-prediction state absorbing. Learn transition rates jointly with neural-network weights, but use MFPT sensitivities to allocate rate changes according to their available control budget rather than allowing one routing edge to dominate halting-time control.
Useful6/10
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