A Universal Control Budget for First-Passage Kinetics

arXiv:2608.06368 2026 Dynamics 1 ideas extracted · analyzed Aug 31, 2026

What the math gives to ML

The paper establishes a universal control-budget theorem for the mean first-passage time of any finite continuous-time Markov chain: the logarithmic sensitivity to each individual transition rate has magnitude at most one, while the sensitivities over all rates sum to -1. This gives a quantitative conservation law for completion-time control: globally accelerating all rates rescales completion time inversely, and no single edge can contribute more than one logarithmic unit of control. A direct neural-network transfer is a stochastic adaptive-computation architecture whose layer transitions form a finite Markov chain and whose absorbing state represents halting; the theorem then supplies an exact sensitivity monitor and principled rate-allocation rule for learned early-exit or routing policies.

Ideas from this paper

Unverified 2026

First-Passage Budgeted Adaptive Computation

Represent stochastic layer execution, branching, retries, and early exit as a finite continuous-time Markov chain, with the completed-prediction state absorbing. Learn transition rates jointly with neural-network weights, but use MFPT sensitivities to allocate rate changes according to their available control budget rather than allowing one routing edge to dominate halting-time control.

Useful6/10
Difficulty6/10
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Paper: A Universal Control Budget for First-Passage Kinetics arXiv:2608.06368