Macroscopic fluctuation theory for the multi-time statistics of current in non-stationary diffusive systems

arXiv:2608.12119 2026 Dynamics 1 ideas extracted · analyzed Sep 1, 2026

What the math gives to ML

The paper provides a constructive macroscopic-fluctuation-theory description of multi-time current fluctuations in non-stationary diffusive systems. Its transferable asset is a path-space action, together with perturbative multi-time correlation predictions, that distinguishes transient step-like profiles from spatially flat initial conditions rather than assuming a universal fractional-Brownian law. A neural-network analogue is to treat layerwise gradient or activation energy as a coarse-grained density, estimate its effective diffusivity and mobility from training trajectories, and use the resulting action as an instability monitor and learning-rate controller. The main falsifiable prediction is that rare bursts in the coarse-grained training current obey an approximately linear log-probability versus MFT action relation, while transient covariance decay follows the fitted diffusive spectrum.

Ideas from this paper

Unverified 2026

MFT Gradient-Flow Monitor

Coarse-grain the training trajectory into a one-dimensional field over depth or parameter blocks, such as normalized gradient energy per layer, and model its redistribution as a fluctuating diffusive current. Compute the macroscopic fluctuation action over a sliding time window; use unusually large action as an early-warning signal for nonstationary gradient bursts and reduce the learning rate before divergence. The controller explicitly distinguishes flat layer profiles from step-like…

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Paper: Macroscopic fluctuation theory for the multi-time statistics of current in non-stationary diffusive systems arXiv:2608.12119