The Boltzmann structure of sampling: Intrinsic $p$-value and its emergent closed-form expression

arXiv:2608.14608 2026 Regularization 1 ideas extracted · analyzed Sep 1, 2026

What the math gives to ML

The paper turns constrained categorical sampling into a likelihood-ratio-like statistic obtained from nested information projections onto linear moment families. Its transferable asset is the combination of exponential-family projections, KL geometry, and dimension-aware chi-square calibration for deviations in multiple learned features. In neural training, this can replace ad hoc sums of squared moment errors with a statistically normalized constraint loss whose scale accounts for feature covariance and sample size. The most direct experiment is a constraint-aware generative or conditional model in which structural moments are enforced while auxiliary moments are monitored or penalized through the projected KL statistic.

Ideas from this paper

Unverified 2026

Information-Projection Constraint Loss

Replace raw squared penalties on generated feature means with the paper's nested information-projection statistic. A model output distribution is projected once onto structural constraints and once onto structural-plus-test constraints; their KL divergence produces a sample-size-scaled loss and an approximate chi-square p-value. This should help when constraints have different variances or are strongly correlated, because the KL geometry automatically adapts to their covariance instead of…

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Paper: The Boltzmann structure of sampling: Intrinsic $p$-value and its emergent closed-form expression arXiv:2608.14608