When to Sell an Asset? - A Distribution Builder Approach

arXiv:2608.18783 2026 Sampling 1 ideas extracted · analyzed Sep 1, 2026

What the math gives to ML

The paper replaces scalar utility maximization with a target-distribution objective: choose a stopping time whose stopped diffusion has a prescribed law. Its transferable asset is the coupling between path-dependent stopping rules and terminal distribution matching, rather than the finance-specific asset-sale interpretation. A practical neural adaptation is to learn a differentiable stopping hazard along a stochastic latent trajectory, with a distributional loss enforcing the desired terminal law; this can provide adaptive-compute diffusion sampling or distribution-constrained RL policies.

Ideas from this paper

Failed on benchmark 2026

Target-Law Neural Stopping

Learn a path-dependent stopping policy for a stochastic neural trajectory so that the state at stopping time matches a prescribed target distribution, instead of optimizing only a scalar terminal reward. This can turn a fixed-length diffusion sampler or iterative latent refinement process into an adaptive sampler that stops early when its sample distribution is already sufficiently close to the target.

Useful7/10
Difficulty5/10
Novelty7/10
Paper: When to Sell an Asset? - A Distribution Builder Approach arXiv:2608.18783