# Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора: (универсальный) Ответ агента: { "worked": false, "confidence": 9, "verdict": "The AoI water-filling scheduler was implemented as a client-selection intervention with the shared tabular MLP/FedAvg system and evaluated using the registered bench tabular track. It performed significantly worse than the tuned baseline: paired delta +5.3514 MSE with permutation p=0.0081, so the bench verdict is idea worse (significant) and worked=false.", "metrics": { "baseline": "Tuned baseline mean test MSE 14.373831629753113 over 8 seeds; best configuration lr=0.01, local_epochs=2, rounds=12.", "idea": "AoI mean test MSE 19.725202083587646 over 8 seeds; configuration lr=0.01, local_epochs=2, rounds=12, k=2, tmin=1.0.", "delta": "Idea minus baseline = +5.351370453834534 MSE; idea wins 0/8 seeds; permutation p=0.0081." }, "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "tabular", "model": "mlp_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "local_epochs": 1, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 223.6857147216797 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 210.77929306030273 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "local_epochs": 1, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 67.18655395507812 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 53.71764373779297 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 1, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 17.76415729522705 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 17.76415729522705 } ], "full": { "mean": 14.373831629753113, "std": 2.160404265521121, "per_seed": [ 13.627610206604004, 14.695388793945312, 13.869207382202148, 13.48568058013916, 13.839923858642578, 13.941503524780273, 16.740978240966797, 14.792271614074707 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 19.725202083587646, "std": 5.245205473899841, "per_seed": [ 26.952552795410156, 15.676153182983398, 29.294530868530273, 17.223838806152344, 14.348954200744629, 14.049056053161621, 22.311412811279297, 17.945117950439453 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 5.351370453834534, "idea_wins": 0, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ 13.324942588806152, 2.298370361328125, 15.124734878540039, 2.8086652755737305, 1.3402166366577148, 0.6276035308837891, 6.480581283569336, 0.8058490753173828 ], "p_value": 0.0081, "mde": 4.847043396462838, "mde_rel_pct": 33.721303555759626, "verdict": "idea worse (significant)", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "signature": { "predicted_density": 1.0, "observed_success_fraction": 3.9058630952380953, "predicted_vs_observed_refresh_ratio": 3.905863056179465, "confirmed": false }, "track_choice": "Registered built-in tabular track used as the available client-polling/FedAvg proxy; no built-in track directly models federated source refresh.", "idea_best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "idea_sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 22.286768913269043 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 210.77929306030273 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "local_epochs": 2, "rounds": 12, "k": 2, "tmin": 1.0 }, "mean": 22.286768913269043 } ], "per_seed_details": [ { "T": [ 4, 5, 6, 2, 7, 3, 5, 3, 6, 4, 5, 3 ], "density": 1.0000000000000002, "lambda": 196.8013772731499, "successes": 32, "observed_request_density": 3.9578571428571427, "weighted_age": 9.454095534837993 }, { "T": [ 4, 4, 7, 2, 8, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 5, 3 ], "density": 0.9999999999999999, "lambda": 197.5480838641691, "successes": 30, "observed_request_density": 3.8900000000000006, "weighted_age": 12.949717501089845 }, { "T": [ 4, 4, 6, 2, 8, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 5, 4 ], "density": 0.9999999999999999, "lambda": 198.51296162399694, "successes": 29, "observed_request_density": 3.8542857142857145, "weighted_age": 10.634414666653532 }, { "T": [ 4, 4, 6, 2, 7, 3, 5, 3, 6, 4, 5, 3 ], "density": 1.0, "lambda": 198.08010033556792, "successes": 33, "observed_request_density": 4.032857142857143, "weighted_age": 6.416980364756832 }, { "T": [ 4, 5, 6, 2, 8, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 6, 3 ], "density": 1.0000000000000002, "lambda": 197.6240910009057, "successes": 30, "observed_request_density": 3.799285714285715, "weighted_age": 8.88457782106258 }, { "T": [ 4, 4, 6, 2, 7, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 6, 3 ], "density": 1.0, "lambda": 197.31236035394295, "successes": 30, "observed_request_density": 3.9171428571428577, "weighted_age": 12.346073807445732 }, { "T": [ 4, 4, 6, 2, 8, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 5, 3 ], "density": 1.0, "lambda": 198.64295279950977, "successes": 24, "observed_request_density": 3.937619047619048, "weighted_age": 10.884416620351761 }, { "T": [ 4, 5, 7, 2, 7, 3, 5, 3, 7, 4, 5, 3 ], "density": 1.0, "lambda": 196.86110104870477, "successes": 29, "observed_request_density": 3.857857142857143, "weighted_age": 15.757793408616273 } ] }, "custom_track": null }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 aoi_bench.py", "files": [ "aoi_bench.py", "bench_report.json", "bench_output.txt" ], "limitations": "This tested the registered tabular proxy rather than a true federated dataset because no built-in track directly represents client refresh. Real networking bytes, wall-clock communication, online EMA updates, and collision-free packed schedules were not tested. The signature was not confirmed: the integer period conversion and density accounting need correction before claiming quantitative mechanism transfer.", "system_verdict": "failed", "practical_verdict": "harms", "mechanism_ok": 0, "system_judged": true }