# Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора: (универсальный) Ответ агента: { "worked": false, "confidence": 10, "verdict": "Built a local Order-Adaptive Integral optimizer with nested states, EMA-triggered order growth, gain ramping, and clipping, evaluated against the same tabular MLP using the bench protocol. Across 8 paired seeds, tuned momentum SGD achieved test MSE 8.4621 while the best adaptive setting achieved 11.5672; the paired permutation p-value was 0.0081 for a significantly worse result. The mechanism signature was not confirmed because order activated on all seeds rather than remaining mostly at order zero on this easy tabular task.", "metrics": { "baseline": "Tuned SGD with momentum=0.9, lr=0.003; 8-seed test MSE mean 8.4620805383, std 0.7635960927.", "idea": "Order-adaptive integral optimizer, best tested lr=0.003; 8-seed test MSE mean 11.5672200918, std 1.9770478863. Paired delta +3.1051395535, 0/8 wins, permutation p=0.0081; verdict idea worse (significant)." }, "how_to_run": "PYTHONPATH=/home/maxwelhelp/all/math2nn /home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 stage2_bench.py", "files": [ "stage2_bench.py", "bench_report.json" ], "limitations": "Only the structurally matched built-in tabular/Friedman regression track with mlp_tiny was tested; vision, sequence, and dynamics tracks were not tested. The run used 400 training samples, 400 test samples, 18 epochs, and did not measure wall-clock speed or memory overhead. The baseline sweep used SGD momentum and three learning rates; no AdamW or layerwise-order variant was evaluated.", "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "tabular", "model": "mlp_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "momentum": 0.9 }, "full": { "mean": 8.462080538272858, "std": 0.763596092727506, "per_seed": [ 9.01702880859375, 8.495253562927246, 8.408374786376953, 7.555444240570068, 7.235288619995117, 8.890181541442871, 9.808090209960938, 8.286982536315918 ], "n": 8 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "momentum": 0.0 }, "mean": 11.063072919845581 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "momentum": 0.9 }, "mean": 8.369025349617004 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "momentum": 0.0 }, "mean": 27.549113154411316 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "momentum": 0.9 }, "mean": 21.363237619400024 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.03, "momentum": 0.0 }, "mean": 24.645026683807373 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.03, "momentum": 0.9 }, "mean": 24.67656421661377 } ] }, "idea": { "mean": 11.567220091819763, "std": 1.9770478862735161, "per_seed": [ 11.564115524291992, 11.624547958374023, 11.304121017456055, 9.648195266723633, 8.412535667419434, 11.701919555664062, 12.67589282989502, 15.606432914733887 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 3.1051395535469055, "idea_wins": 0, "n_pairs": 8, "p_value": 0.0081, "verdict": "idea worse (significant)", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "prediction": "on easy well-conditioned tabular training adaptive order remains mostly p=0 while residual contracts", "observed_activation_fraction": 1.0, "first_activation": 5, "grad_ratio_range": [ 0.2514142861, 0.4284247521 ], "confirmed": false } }, "system_verdict": "failed", "practical_verdict": "harms", "mechanism_ok": 0, "system_judged": true }