{ "bench_version": 1, "track": "sequence", "model": "transformer_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "epochs": 18 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.379791796207428 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.43505316227674484 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.5298176184296608 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.3913392685353756, "std": 0.03427539180539238, "per_seed": [ 0.3928984999656677, 0.31817880272865295, 0.38973456621170044, 0.4183553159236908, 0.3854232728481293, 0.4126569330692291, 0.44099482893943787, 0.3724719285964966 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 0.22923117503523827, "std": 0.03083903278155792, "per_seed": [ 0.2540016770362854, 0.19434939324855804, 0.2264380156993866, 0.25375083088874817, 0.20073968172073364, 0.2046380639076233, 0.2879960834980011, 0.21193565428256989 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": -0.16210809350013733, "idea_wins": 8, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ -0.13889682292938232, -0.12382940948009491, -0.16329655051231384, -0.16460448503494263, -0.18468359112739563, -0.20801886916160583, -0.15299874544143677, -0.1605362743139267 ], "p_value": 0.0081, "mde": 0.021699918431380794, "mde_rel_pct": 5.545039860833492, "verdict": "idea better (significant)", "system_worked": true }, "math_sanity": [ { "R": 8, "ratio": 0.9789600837710886 }, { "R": 32, "ratio": 0.9958617558725931 }, { "R": 128, "ratio": 0.9992112587895055 }, { "R": 512, "ratio": 0.9998442233803077 } ], "idea_sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.2617868036031723 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.23213497921824455 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "epochs": 18 }, "mean": 0.23712797462940216 } ], "track_justification": "Sequence forecast has multi-token correlations and is the mandated structural match for attention/SSM ideas.", "mechanism_signature": { "prediction": "dyadic tail should preserve more distant influence than standard local/attention-free mixing", "baseline_observed": { "near_influence": 0.013201632536947727, "far_influence": 0.058944083750247955, "far_near_ratio": 4.464908683135576 }, "idea_observed": { "near_influence": 0.006817104294896126, "far_influence": 0.08620527386665344, "far_near_ratio": 12.645438609256532 }, "predicted_far_near_ratio_idea_gt_baseline": true, "confirmed": true } }