{ "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "rnn_small", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.006 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 0.001154391880845651 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 0.0006730457389494404 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006 }, "mean": 0.0004064472232130356 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.0003541622754710261, "std": 9.525887076242907e-05, "per_seed": [ 0.0004017692699562758, 0.00043160535278730094, 0.00029359731706790626, 0.0004988169530406594, 0.0003143931389786303, 0.00029283223557285964, 0.00018064776668325067, 0.00041963616968132555 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 0.7773510366678238, "std": 0.04344097334599117, "per_seed": [ 0.7313887476921082, 0.8112629652023315, 0.8064488172531128, 0.8520755171775818, 0.7981084585189819, 0.7174731492996216, 0.7519327402114868, 0.7501178979873657 ], "n": 8, "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "beta": 0.01, "gamma": 0.02 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "beta": 0.01, "gamma": 0.02 }, "mean": 0.8052886575460434 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "beta": 0.01, "gamma": 0.02 }, "mean": 0.8011865019798279 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "beta": 0.01, "gamma": 0.02 }, "mean": 0.8002940118312836 } ], "signature_per_seed": [ { "info_nats": -0.11848548799753189, "noise_sigma": 0.24387867748737335, "reverse_mse": 0.8134815096855164 }, { "info_nats": -0.114313505589962, "noise_sigma": 0.25354620814323425, "reverse_mse": 0.8361767530441284 }, { "info_nats": -0.022014688700437546, "noise_sigma": 0.23950694501399994, "reverse_mse": 0.8750950694084167 }, { "info_nats": -0.10838189721107483, "noise_sigma": 0.26771512627601624, "reverse_mse": 0.8871616125106812 }, { "info_nats": -0.061512164771556854, "noise_sigma": 0.250619113445282, "reverse_mse": 0.8385130167007446 }, { "info_nats": -0.08916227519512177, "noise_sigma": 0.24852284789085388, "reverse_mse": 0.7741023898124695 }, { "info_nats": -0.05122513696551323, "noise_sigma": 0.25014737248420715, "reverse_mse": 0.8042869567871094 }, { "info_nats": -0.12155700474977493, "noise_sigma": 0.23886628448963165, "reverse_mse": 0.8002150058746338 } ] }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.7769968743923528, "idea_wins": 0, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ 0.7309869784221519, 0.8108313598495442, 0.8061552199360449, 0.8515767002245411, 0.7977940653800033, 0.7171803170640487, 0.7517520924448036, 0.7496982618176844 ], "p_value": 0.0081, "mde": 0.03879287423905792, "mde_rel_pct": 10953.417945901907, "verdict": "idea worse (significant)", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "track_choice": "dynamics: actuated pendulum rollout is structurally matched to control/stability.", "prediction": "The intended prediction was lower information with a useful reverse prior; the trained signature did not validate this quantitatively because the estimated information was negative and no baseline information measurement was recorded.", "predicted_info_nats": -0.08583152014762163, "observed_reverse_mse": 0.8286290392279625, "observed_noise_sigma": 0.2491003219038248, "confirmed": false } }