{ "seed": 1057, "predictions": [ "The c1 sign boundary is at c1=0; negative contracts and positive expands.", "The fitted leading drift coefficient is linear in c1 and equals c1.", "For c2=0, Delta-r divided by r^3 is radius-independent." ], "boundary_zero_crossing": -3.288136892320992e-06, "boundary_sweep": [ { "true_c1": -1.2, "fitted_c1": -1.1999990121765844, "fitted_c2": 0.053896093815946566, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": -0.8999999999999999, "fitted_c1": -0.8999995365629787, "fitted_c2": 0.03032938138963995, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": -0.6, "fitted_c1": -0.5999998416538204, "fitted_c2": 0.013485812296577422, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": -0.30000000000000004, "fitted_c1": -0.2999999765460261, "fitted_c2": 0.0033731953694528896, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": 0.0, "fitted_c1": 3.288172675077076e-06, "fitted_c2": -0.00012854771755708142, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": 0.30000000000000004, "fitted_c1": 0.29999994948359987, "fitted_c2": 0.003377640227427586, "n": 699 }, { "true_c1": 0.5999999999999999, "fitted_c1": 0.599999618652887, "fitted_c2": 0.013522372505803192, "n": 469 }, { "true_c1": 0.9000000000000001, "fitted_c1": 0.899998749072154, "fitted_c2": 0.030450413182232038, "n": 313 }, { "true_c1": 1.2, "fitted_c1": 1.1999970602354768, "fitted_c2": 0.054178807955361216, "n": 235 } ], "scaling_sweep": [ { "r0": 0.04, "drift_over_r3": 0.7999998940093185, "n": 99 }, { "r0": 0.06, "drift_over_r3": 0.7999999325551341, "n": 99 }, { "r0": 0.08, "drift_over_r3": 0.7999999259178239, "n": 99 }, { "r0": 0.1, "drift_over_r3": 0.799999883818088, "n": 99 }, { "r0": 0.12, "drift_over_r3": 0.7999997951749189, "n": 99 }, { "r0": 0.14, "drift_over_r3": 0.7999996399020398, "n": 99 } ], "c2_sweep": [ { "true_c2": -1.5, "fitted_c1": -8.45731482777153e-07, "fitted_c2": -1.4999124120546632, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": -1.0, "fitted_c1": -3.816157022037029e-07, "fitted_c2": -0.9999608498863004, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": -0.5, "fitted_c1": -1.0261315146056683e-07, "fitted_c2": -0.49998995300052207, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": 0.0, "fitted_c1": -1.3888235568639299e-05, "fitted_c2": 0.0009641337796334907, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": 0.5, "fitted_c1": -1.0283805800466834e-07, "fitted_c2": 0.5000100463987562, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": 1.0, "fitted_c1": -3.8371212039997224e-07, "fitted_c2": 1.000039263561265, "n": 179 }, { "true_c2": 1.5, "fitted_c1": -8.527621804486334e-07, "fitted_c2": 1.5000880287371328, "n": 179 } ], "heldout_sign_trials": { "correct_fraction": 0.9, "trials": [ { "radius": 0.045247007375366396, "a": 0.32656630359812455, "chosen": "+", "estimated_plus": 19.235793038176066, "estimated_minus": 80.69041156334526 }, { "radius": 0.14455565831730716, "a": 0.8441836164146468, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.879453857902293, "estimated_minus": -0.8766798864277726 }, { "radius": 0.13367579324913045, "a": 0.40450299631387865, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.3451862170301646, "estimated_minus": -0.4743428885229288 }, { "radius": 0.14343054064434096, "a": 0.3178536543209644, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.5379558561257543, "estimated_minus": -0.030624902310700367 }, { "radius": 0.04898990036722249, "a": 0.5475805264643394, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 15.950510866518275, "estimated_minus": -2.212704870611842 }, { "radius": 0.12566521784013376, "a": 0.31593170637039125, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.6970862514762208, "estimated_minus": -0.5501394403811711 }, { "radius": 0.10910726328267509, "a": 0.20169997141643617, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 3.200796300714919, "estimated_minus": 0.032119529281963 }, { "radius": 0.14468356408066044, "a": 0.5012905890064852, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.46695095720082963, "estimated_minus": -0.6436458612533781 }, { "radius": 0.07618922157952737, "a": 0.8566136944822378, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 2.908104432269609, "estimated_minus": -1.7155176367404235 }, { "radius": 0.12740266157395605, "a": 0.9953762161622206, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 1.106438494943611, "estimated_minus": -0.9513760842740837 }, { "radius": 0.10615012291902412, "a": 0.5892234439626743, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.31233415340449006, "estimated_minus": -0.3072129346421218 }, { "radius": 0.1416824979494898, "a": 0.72643593207554, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.7025073321790841, "estimated_minus": -0.6997022754039062 }, { "radius": 0.09378184334659598, "a": 0.4454376050442762, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.6948261697813484, "estimated_minus": -0.05077195800960679 }, { "radius": 0.1466034626918057, "a": 0.3954460267148845, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.4492474293002818, "estimated_minus": -0.30724851679440673 }, { "radius": 0.05316397264092746, "a": 0.9893633734572869, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 18.872800811973004, "estimated_minus": -3.1666628821536675 }, { "radius": 0.11264309983918619, "a": 0.9844521061535076, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 0.9867906306115525, "estimated_minus": -1.1939092600698553 }, { "radius": 0.05732065414550555, "a": 0.38941948700893064, "chosen": "+", "estimated_plus": -1.8332774385257284, "estimated_minus": 37.22259996821224 }, { "radius": 0.08535560266384543, "a": 0.9112573048487285, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": -0.19972947871857416, "estimated_minus": -0.7916400235911735 }, { "radius": 0.11231885262400829, "a": 0.8448027329595766, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 1.0471721932110543, "estimated_minus": -0.6020022376137927 }, { "radius": 0.0851881450020208, "a": 0.8511039364711268, "chosen": "-", "estimated_plus": 1.827539031822389, "estimated_minus": -0.8677222795397622 } ] }, "switching": { "fixed_outward_final": 0.2034820797659182, "fixed_inward_final": 0.1631325768317474, "switched_final": 0.16648940951637334, "switched_start": 0.18, "selected_minus_fraction": 1.0 } }