{ "bench_version": 1, "track": "tabular", "model": "mlp_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 187.7414321899414 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 19.22788381576538 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "mean": 15.669923067092896 } ], "full": { "mean": 16.668858289718628, "std": 2.7275460099983677, "per_seed": [ 15.673293113708496, 11.123649597167969, 17.505971908569336, 18.37677764892578, 14.736111640930176, 21.006744384765625, 17.87649917602539, 17.05181884765625 ], "n": 8 }, "idea_parity_sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 8.131636142730713 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 11.476103067398071 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "mean": 9.458438754081726 } ] }, "idea": { "mean": 9.025225281715393, "std": 1.7380340756046946, "per_seed": [ 8.675573348999023, 6.953583717346191, 8.074329376220703, 8.823058128356934, 13.168746948242188, 8.126770973205566, 8.566627502441406, 9.813112258911133 ], "n": 8, "selected_cfg": { "lr": 0.001 } }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": -7.643633008003235, "idea_wins": 8, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ -6.997719764709473, -4.170065879821777, -9.431642532348633, -9.553719520568848, -1.5673646926879883, -12.879973411560059, -9.309871673583984, -7.238706588745117 ], "p_value": 0.0081, "mde": 2.941158171817024, "mde_rel_pct": 17.644628808387758, "verdict": "idea better (significant)", "system_worked": true }, "mechanism_signature": { "alpha": 1.0, "rho": 0.9, "prediction": "accepted_eta ~= rho / observed_directional_Lhat", "per_seed": [ { "predicted_eta": 0.004098492150815332, "observed_eta": 0.021143166023050074, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 5.1587669916225085 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.004114928975852553, "observed_eta": 0.015304616531639226, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 3.719290568913971 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.003983274857888152, "observed_eta": 0.0124441517321635, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 3.1241006900440524 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.004497933758441668, "observed_eta": 0.031266616003165305, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 6.951328694977888 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.0055342093536037895, "observed_eta": 0.015162049792218038, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 2.7396957403399913 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.004462357038057677, "observed_eta": 0.02690663006815206, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 6.029690102937991 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.003190808863205975, "observed_eta": 0.021336048993906148, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 6.686721113237942 }, { "predicted_eta": 0.0022129334132261974, "observed_eta": 0.012751969561600147, "ratio_observed_to_predicted": 5.762473233665567 } ], "mean_ratio": 5.0215083919674885, "confirmed": false }, "runtime_seconds": 7.080888032913208, "protocol_notes": { "epochs": 8, "batch": 128, "dataset_sizes": [ 400, 200 ], "structural_match": "optimizer -> tabular" } }