# Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

Ответ агента:

{
  "worked": false,
  "confidence": 9,
  "verdict": "Implemented barrier-controlled noisy Adam around the shared rnn_small architecture on the structurally matched dynamics track. The idea achieved a small lower mean MSE than the tuned baseline, but the paired permutation test was not significant (delta_mean < 0, p=0.20575), so the benchmark does not establish a win. The trained-model mechanism signature was not confirmed because the empirical barrier probe yielded zero usable checkpoints; the stage-1 toy prediction therefore does not transfer demonstrably to this neural benchmark.",
  "metrics": {
    "baseline": "Tuned Adam, lr=0.006, weight_decay=0.0; full 8-seed mean MSE 0.000519486, std 0.000169389",
    "idea": "Barrier-controlled noisy Adam, best among q_safe={2,4,8} at the baseline lr/weight-decay; 8-seed mean MSE 0.000499170",
    "paired_delta": "-0.000020316 mean MSE, 5/8 idea wins, permutation p=0.20575, verdict=no significant win",
    "mechanism_signature": "predicted_slope=NaN, observed_slope=NaN, usable checkpoints=0, confirmed=false"
  },
  "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_experiment.py",
  "files": [
    "bench_experiment.py",
    "bench_report.json"
  ],
  "limitations": "Only the dynamics track was tested; no tabular, vision, or sequence transfer was run. The baseline sweep used four seeds and the final comparison used eight paired seeds, as required, but the empirical barrier estimator failed to produce usable positive-barrier checkpoints. No wall-clock or FLOP comparison was measured, and the implementation uses an approximate parameter-space loss interpolation rather than a learned quasipotential model.",
  "bench_report": {
    "bench_version": 1,
    "track": "dynamics",
    "model": "rnn_small",
    "metric_direction": "lower is better",
    "n_seeds": 8,
    "baseline": {
      "best_cfg": {
        "lr": 0.006,
        "weight_decay": 0.0
      },
      "sweep": [
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.001,
            "weight_decay": 0.0
          },
          "mean": 0.0015310924500226974
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.001,
            "weight_decay": 0.0001
          },
          "mean": 0.0015161814808379859
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.003,
            "weight_decay": 0.0
          },
          "mean": 0.0008559521666029468
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.003,
            "weight_decay": 0.0001
          },
          "mean": 0.0008401070081163198
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.006,
            "weight_decay": 0.0
          },
          "mean": 0.0005687399534508586
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.006,
            "weight_decay": 0.0001
          },
          "mean": 0.000572658478631638
        }
      ],
      "full": {
        "mean": 0.0005194859513721894,
        "std": 0.0001693891077925739,
        "per_seed": [
          0.0005914251087233424,
          0.0007362987380474806,
          0.00035295303678140044,
          0.0005942829302512109,
          0.0002958264376502484,
          0.0005069610779173672,
          0.00032333534909412265,
          0.0007548049325123429
        ],
        "n": 8
      }
    },
    "idea": {
      "per_seed": [
        0.0005676778964698315,
        0.0006774243083782494,
        0.00039852733607403934,
        0.0005248879315331578,
        0.0003072890976909548,
        0.000477546826004982,
        0.00033985383925028145,
        0.000700155389495194
      ],
      "mean": 0.0004991703281120863
    },
    "comparison": {
      "delta_mean": -2.0315623260103166e-05,
      "idea_wins": 5,
      "n_pairs": 8,
      "per_seed_diffs": [
        -2.3747212253510952e-05,
        -5.8874429669231176e-05,
        4.55742992926389e-05,
        -6.93949987180531e-05,
        1.1462660040706396e-05,
        -2.9414251912385225e-05,
        1.6518490156158805e-05,
        -5.464954301714897e-05
      ],
      "p_value": 0.20575,
      "mde": 3.4442226319100816e-05,
      "mde_rel_pct": 6.630059239932061,
      "verdict": "no significant win",
      "system_worked": false
    },
    "mechanism_signature": {
      "barrier_noise_calibration": {
        "predicted_slope": null,
        "observed_slope": null,
        "n_checkpoints": 0,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "q_safe": 8.0,
      "custom_track": null
    }
  },
  "system_verdict": "failed",
  "practical_verdict": "inconclusive",
  "mechanism_ok": 0,
  "system_judged": true
}