# Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

Ответ агента:

{
  "worked": false,
  "confidence": 9,
  "verdict": "The pole-radius DIGing variant was implemented and evaluated on the registered tabular Friedman regression track with the shared mlp_tiny architecture, four-worker ring communication, an equal learning-rate grid, and 8 paired seeds. The baseline mean test MSE was 22.9948 versus 209.8789 for the idea; paired delta was +186.8841 with permutation p=0.0081 and zero idea wins, so the idea was significantly worse. The trained-model mechanism signature was not confirmed because the predicted pole radius (0.5111) did not match the observed tracker-disagreement ratio (0.9516).",
  "metrics": {
    "baseline": "best lr=0.003; full mean test MSE=22.994831800460815; std=11.385712752026535",
    "idea": "pole-radius tuning selected alpha=0.001; full mean test MSE=209.8788948059082; std=12.027703233030866"
  },
  "bench_report": {
    "bench_version": 1,
    "track": "tabular",
    "model": "mlp_tiny",
    "metric_direction": "lower is better",
    "n_seeds": 8,
    "baseline": {
      "best_cfg": {
        "lr": 0.003
      },
      "sweep": [
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.001
          },
          "mean": 210.5964012145996
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.003
          },
          "mean": 19.421141624450684
        },
        {
          "cfg": {
            "lr": 0.01
          },
          "mean": 89.58010625839233
        }
      ],
      "full": {
        "mean": 22.994831800460815,
        "std": 11.385712752026535,
        "per_seed": [
          27.76300621032715,
          13.660076141357422,
          19.283185958862305,
          16.97829818725586,
          17.96718406677246,
          18.604217529296875,
          18.24533462524414,
          51.45735168457031
        ],
        "n": 8
      }
    },
    "idea": {
      "mean": 209.8788948059082,
      "std": 12.027703233030866,
      "per_seed": [
        225.73562622070312,
        209.03338623046875,
        215.49949645996094,
        192.11709594726562,
        217.17715454101562,
        194.1483612060547,
        201.66188049316406,
        223.6581573486328
      ],
      "n": 8
    },
    "comparison": {
      "delta_mean": 186.8840630054474,
      "idea_wins": 0,
      "n_pairs": 8,
      "per_seed_diffs": [
        197.97262001037598,
        195.37331008911133,
        196.21631050109863,
        175.13879776000977,
        199.20997047424316,
        175.5441436767578,
        183.41654586791992,
        172.2008056640625
      ],
      "p_value": 0.0081,
      "mde": 9.628530681945449,
      "mde_rel_pct": 41.872585829275316,
      "verdict": "idea worse (significant)",
      "system_worked": false
    },
    "mechanism_signature": {
      "track_structure": "optimizer/decentralized regression",
      "alpha": 0.001,
      "mu_est": 0.249891459941864,
      "L_est": 0.249891459941864,
      "predicted_pole_radius": 0.5110536651589729,
      "observed_tracker_disagreement_ratio": 0.9515644814489328,
      "confirmed": false,
      "pole_spectrum": [
        -2.1467203015212988e-16,
        0.5,
        0.5000000000000001
      ],
      "idea_grid": [
        {
          "lr": 0.001
        },
        {
          "lr": 0.003
        },
        {
          "lr": 0.01
        }
      ],
      "selected_idea_cfg": {
        "lr": 0.001
      },
      "candidate_full_means": {
        "0.001": 209.8788948059082,
        "0.003": 209.8788948059082,
        "0.01": 209.8788948059082
      }
    }
  },
  "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 stage2_bench.py",
  "files": [
    "stage2_bench.py",
    "bench_report.json"
  ],
  "limitations": "Only the registered tabular/Friedman track was tested, using a four-worker ring and 24 training epochs. Larger graphs, expander communication, curvature power iteration, backtracking, centralized SGD, communication/FLOP accounting, and the other built-in tracks were not tested.",
  "system_verdict": "failed",
  "practical_verdict": "harms",
  "mechanism_ok": 0,
  "system_judged": true
}