{ "seed": 2184, "prediction_checks": { "weak_noise_scaling": { "predicted_loglog_slope": -0.5, "observed_loglog_slope": -0.48114411850291106, "tolerance": 0.12, "passed": true, "n": [ 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256 ], "std": [ 0.4245481667462415, 0.33853416469623837, 0.21744622617264295, 0.16226827000783398, 0.11905282477270107, 0.08162000556664657 ] }, "consensus_transition": { "prediction": "majority improves for p>0.5 and worsens for p<0.5", "rows": [ { "p": 0.4, "m": 3, "observed_error": 0.6497, "hoeffding_bound": 0.9417645335842487 }, { "p": 0.4, "m": 7, "observed_error": 0.7038333333333333, "hoeffding_bound": 0.8693582353988059 }, { "p": 0.4, "m": 15, "observed_error": 0.7860666666666667, "hoeffding_bound": 0.740818220681718 }, { "p": 0.4, "m": 31, "observed_error": 0.8718, "hoeffding_bound": 0.5379444375946747 }, { "p": 0.55, "m": 3, "observed_error": 0.4246333333333333, "hoeffding_bound": 0.9851119396030626 }, { "p": 0.55, "m": 7, "observed_error": 0.3939666666666667, "hoeffding_bound": 0.9656054162575665 }, { "p": 0.55, "m": 15, "observed_error": 0.3486666666666667, "hoeffding_bound": 0.9277434863285527 }, { "p": 0.55, "m": 31, "observed_error": 0.2853, "hoeffding_bound": 0.8564151774836133 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 3, "observed_error": 0.21806666666666666, "hoeffding_bound": 0.7866278610665535 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 7, "observed_error": 0.1255, "hoeffding_bound": 0.5712090638488151 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 15, "observed_error": 0.049433333333333336, "hoeffding_bound": 0.3011942119122023 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 31, "observed_error": 0.007833333333333333, "hoeffding_bound": 0.08374322559219607 }, { "p": 0.85, "m": 3, "observed_error": 0.061533333333333336, "hoeffding_bound": 0.47950545897489416 }, { "p": 0.85, "m": 7, "observed_error": 0.012533333333333334, "hoeffding_bound": 0.1799637207131122 }, { "p": 0.85, "m": 15, "observed_error": 0.0005666666666666667, "hoeffding_bound": 0.025349405522724956 }, { "p": 0.85, "m": 31, "observed_error": 0.0, "hoeffding_bound": 0.0005029599566898495 } ], "passed": true }, "patch_count_scaling": { "prediction": "error decreases with m for p=.70 and stays below Hoeffding upper bound", "rows": [ { "p": 0.7, "m": 3, "observed_error": 0.21806666666666666, "hoeffding_bound": 0.7866278610665535 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 7, "observed_error": 0.1255, "hoeffding_bound": 0.5712090638488151 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 15, "observed_error": 0.049433333333333336, "hoeffding_bound": 0.3011942119122023 }, { "p": 0.7, "m": 31, "observed_error": 0.007833333333333333, "hoeffding_bound": 0.08374322559219607 } ], "monotonic_with_sampling_tolerance": true, "below_bound_with_sampling_tolerance": true, "passed": true } }, "secondary_mvp": { "local_exact_support_accuracy_mean": 0.997125, "modal_consensus_exact_accuracy": 1.0, "interpretation": "consensus converts noisy local support votes into a region-level decision" }, "all_mechanism_checks_passed": true }