Fisher-floor-corrected DSM / results.json

Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten

Raw ⬇ ZIP
  1{
  2  "decomposition": {
  3    "raw": 0.8870218329802743,
  4    "ideal": 0.07554533820111943,
  5    "floor": 0.8149255928649908,
  6    "raw_minus_ideal": 0.8114764947791548,
  7    "abs_identity_error": 0.0034490980858359332,
  8    "relative_identity_error": 0.0038884026949454298
  9  },
 10  "alpha_scaling": {
 11    "alphas": [
 12      0.1,
 13      0.2,
 14      0.35,
 15      0.5,
 16      0.7
 17    ],
 18    "floors": [
 19      4.7735912815872886e-05,
 20      0.00019026511655464908,
 21      0.000577037789464268,
 22      0.0011602235818625795,
 23      0.0022123890636656244
 24    ],
 25    "quadratic_fit_relative_max_error": 0.04680103988824821,
 26    "observed_ratio_F(a=.7)/F(a=.1)": 46.3464283630494,
 27    "predicted_ratio_(.7/.1)^2": 49.0
 28  },
 29  "alpha_zero_and_noise": {
 30    "cases": [
 31      {
 32        "alpha": 0.0,
 33        "sigma": 0.8,
 34        "floor": 0.0
 35      },
 36      {
 37        "alpha": 0.8,
 38        "sigma": 0.8,
 39        "floor": 1.084410991030957
 40      },
 41      {
 42        "alpha": 0.8,
 43        "sigma": 5.0,
 44        "floor": 0.0028413543965655303
 45      },
 46      {
 47        "alpha": 0.8,
 48        "sigma": 10.0,
 49        "floor": 0.00018758057935560016
 50      }
 51    ],
 52    "alpha_zero_floor": 0.0,
 53    "zero_prediction": 0.0
 54  },
 55  "bank_convergence": {
 56    "mean_absolute_errors": [
 57      {
 58        "bank": 16,
 59        "mae": 0.1708205059315001
 60      },
 61      {
 62        "bank": 32,
 63        "mae": 0.1337497619610507
 64      },
 65      {
 66        "bank": 64,
 67        "mae": 0.10666014051621239
 68      },
 69      {
 70        "bank": 128,
 71        "mae": 0.08408288759924638
 72      },
 73      {
 74        "bank": 256,
 75        "mae": 0.051052379860146525
 76      },
 77      {
 78        "bank": 512,
 79        "mae": 0.027469858291350558
 80      },
 81      {
 82        "bank": 1024,
 83        "mae": 0.03177048910637513
 84      }
 85    ],
 86    "loglog_error_slope": -0.4610845290551241,
 87    "predicted_slope": -0.5
 88  },
 89  "ranking": {
 90    "schedule_summary": [
 91      {
 92        "schedule": [
 93          0.35,
 94          1.5
 95        ],
 96        "floor": 0.06214480329242372,
 97        "raw_ideal_rank_corr": 1.0,
 98        "corrected_ideal_rank_corr": 1.0
 99      },
100      {
101        "schedule": [
102          0.9,
103          0.65
104        ],
105        "floor": 1.7604277815740728,
106        "raw_ideal_rank_corr": 1.0,
107        "corrected_ideal_rank_corr": 1.0
108      }
109    ],
110    "rows": [
111      {
112        "schedule": [
113          0.35,
114          1.5
115        ],
116        "checkpoint": 0,
117        "raw": 0.06370223565645121,
118        "corrected": 0.0015574323640274862,
119        "ideal": 0.0020468100821942952,
120        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
121      },
122      {
123        "schedule": [
124          0.35,
125          1.5
126        ],
127        "checkpoint": 1,
128        "raw": 0.07451509160529636,
129        "corrected": 0.012370288312872638,
130        "ideal": 0.012788426677766404,
131        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
132      },
133      {
134        "schedule": [
135          0.35,
136          1.5
137        ],
138        "checkpoint": 2,
139        "raw": 0.10307591850945949,
140        "corrected": 0.04093111521703577,
141        "ideal": 0.04118525223819467,
142        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
143      },
144      {
145        "schedule": [
146          0.35,
147          1.5
148        ],
149        "checkpoint": 3,
150        "raw": 0.16184911452515266,
151        "corrected": 0.09970431123272894,
152        "ideal": 0.09941358415549105,
153        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
154      },
155      {
156        "schedule": [
157          0.35,
158          1.5
159        ],
160        "checkpoint": 4,
161        "raw": 0.26730105777577123,
162        "corrected": 0.2051562544833475,
163        "ideal": 0.20462566964287401,
164        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
165      },
166      {
167        "schedule": [
168          0.35,
169          1.5
170        ],
171        "checkpoint": 5,
172        "raw": 0.5234810804990705,
173        "corrected": 0.46133627720664677,
174        "ideal": 0.46088969362399257,
175        "floor": 0.06214480329242372
176      },
177      {
178        "schedule": [
179          0.9,
180          0.65
181        ],
182        "checkpoint": 0,
183        "raw": 1.7374954680973407,
184        "corrected": -0.02293231347673208,
185        "ideal": 0.002108926696056517,
186        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
187      },
188      {
189        "schedule": [
190          0.9,
191          0.65
192        ],
193        "checkpoint": 1,
194        "raw": 1.7485052375591317,
195        "corrected": -0.011922544014941083,
196        "ideal": 0.013137756453054641,
197        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
198      },
199      {
200        "schedule": [
201          0.9,
202          0.65
203        ],
204        "checkpoint": 2,
205        "raw": 1.7783460127901731,
206        "corrected": 0.017918231216100367,
207        "ideal": 0.04261326784758886,
208        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
209      },
210      {
211        "schedule": [
212          0.9,
213          0.65
214        ],
215        "checkpoint": 3,
216        "raw": 1.8414220734264763,
217        "corrected": 0.08099429185240359,
218        "ideal": 0.1024998472043664,
219        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
220      },
221      {
222        "schedule": [
223          0.9,
224          0.65
225        ],
226        "checkpoint": 4,
227        "raw": 1.9545648361779133,
228        "corrected": 0.19413705460384056,
229        "ideal": 0.21080512151873737,
230        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
231      },
232      {
233        "schedule": [
234          0.9,
235          0.65
236        ],
237        "checkpoint": 5,
238        "raw": 2.2122206888272964,
239        "corrected": 0.45179290725322363,
240        "ideal": 0.4723553703607576,
241        "floor": 1.7604277815740728
242      }
243    ]
244  }
245}