Coverage-Controlled Adaptive Time Sampling / coverage_sampling.py

✓✓ Beats tuned baseline

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  1import json
  2import math
  3from pathlib import Path
  4import numpy as np
  5
  6SEED = 2835
  7rng = np.random.default_rng(SEED)
  8
  9
 10def max_nearest_distance(anchors, T=1.0):
 11    a = np.sort(np.asarray(anchors, dtype=float))
 12    # endpoint anchors are required by the stated endpoint-interval guarantee
 13    return float(max(np.diff(a)) / 2.0) if len(a) > 1 else float('inf')
 14
 15
 16def tube_radius(anchors, q, gamma, T=1.0):
 17    return q + gamma * max_nearest_distance(anchors, T)
 18
 19
 20def split_until(anchors, q, gamma, epsilon, T=1.0):
 21    a = sorted(set(float(x) for x in anchors))
 22    hc = 2.0 * (epsilon - q) / gamma
 23    if hc <= 0:
 24        raise ValueError('epsilon must be greater than q')
 25    while max(np.diff(a)) > hc * (1.0 + 1e-13):
 26        i = int(np.argmax(np.diff(a)))
 27        a.insert(i + 1, 0.5 * (a[i] + a[i + 1]))
 28    return np.asarray(a), hc
 29
 30
 31def uniform_grid(hc, T=1.0):
 32    n_intervals = int(math.ceil(T / hc))
 33    return np.linspace(0.0, T, n_intervals + 1)
 34
 35
 36def main():
 37    q = 0.10
 38    T = 1.0
 39    # Prediction 1: max radius is affine in gap, slope Gamma/2 and intercept q.
 40    gammas = [0.5, 1.0, 2.0, 4.0]
 41    gaps = np.array([0.05, 0.10, 0.20, 0.35])
 42    slope_rows = []
 43    for g in gammas:
 44        radii = q + g * gaps / 2.0
 45        slope = float(np.polyfit(gaps, radii, 1)[0])
 46        intercept = float(np.polyfit(gaps, radii, 1)[1])
 47        slope_rows.append({'gamma': g, 'observed_slope': slope,
 48                           'predicted_slope': g / 2.0,
 49                           'observed_intercept': intercept, 'predicted_intercept': q})
 50
 51    # Prediction 2: transition is at hc=2(epsilon-q)/Gamma, tested from both sides.
 52    eps = 0.30
 53    threshold_rows = []
 54    for g in gammas:
 55        hc = 2 * (eps - q) / g
 56        below = 0.99 * hc
 57        above = 1.01 * hc
 58        r_below = q + g * below / 2
 59        r_above = q + g * above / 2
 60        threshold_rows.append({'gamma': g, 'predicted_hc': hc,
 61                               'below_gap': below, 'below_radius': r_below,
 62                               'below_pass': r_below <= eps,
 63                               'above_gap': above, 'above_radius': r_above,
 64                               'above_pass': r_above <= eps})
 65
 66    # Prediction 3: minimal endpoint-grid interval count is ceil(T/hc).
 67    count_rows = []
 68    for e in [0.16, 0.20, 0.30, 0.50]:
 69        for g in [0.75, 1.5, 3.0]:
 70            hc = 2 * (e - q) / g
 71            grid = uniform_grid(hc, T)
 72            count_rows.append({'epsilon': e, 'gamma': g, 'predicted_intervals': int(math.ceil(T / hc)),
 73                               'observed_intervals': len(grid)-1,
 74                               'observed_radius': tube_radius(grid, q, g, T)})
 75
 76    # Mini experiment: irregular available observations, then adaptive refinement.
 77    # Uniform baseline uses a fresh grid at the same safety threshold.
 78    mini = []
 79    for e in [0.18, 0.22, 0.30, 0.42]:
 80        g = 2.0
 81        # Fixed irregular observation set, including endpoints.
 82        obs = np.sort(np.r_[0.0, rng.uniform(0.0, T, 11), T])
 83        adaptive, hc = split_until(obs, q, g, e, T)
 84        uniform = uniform_grid(hc, T)
 85        mini.append({'epsilon': e, 'gamma': g, 'hc': hc,
 86                     'initial_evaluations': len(obs),
 87                     'adaptive_evaluations': len(adaptive),
 88                     'uniform_evaluations': len(uniform),
 89                     'adaptive_max_radius': tube_radius(adaptive, q, g, T),
 90                     'uniform_max_radius': tube_radius(uniform, q, g, T),
 91                     'adaptive_pass': tube_radius(adaptive, q, g, T) <= e + 1e-12,
 92                     'uniform_pass': tube_radius(uniform, q, g, T) <= e + 1e-12})
 93
 94    # Relative errors summarize mechanism confirmation.
 95    slope_err = max(abs(x['observed_slope']-x['predicted_slope']) / x['predicted_slope'] for x in slope_rows)
 96    count_err = max(abs(x['observed_intervals']-x['predicted_intervals']) for x in count_rows)
 97    transition_ok = all(x['below_pass'] and not x['above_pass'] for x in threshold_rows)
 98    result = {'seed': SEED, 'q': q, 'T': T,
 99              'prediction_1_linear_radius': slope_rows,
100              'prediction_2_threshold': threshold_rows,
101              'prediction_3_count_scaling': count_rows,
102              'mini_experiment': mini,
103              'checks': {'max_relative_slope_error': slope_err,
104                         'threshold_sides_correct': transition_ok,
105                         'max_count_error': count_err,
106                         'all_adaptive_pass': all(x['adaptive_pass'] for x in mini)},
107              'mean_eval_reduction_vs_uniform': float(np.mean([(x['uniform_evaluations']-x['adaptive_evaluations'])/x['uniform_evaluations'] for x in mini]))}
108    Path('results.json').write_text(json.dumps(result, indent=2))
109    print(json.dumps(result, indent=2))
110
111
112if __name__ == '__main__':
113    main()