Orbital-Stable Dancing RNN / report_bench_2026-09-02T012441.md

Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten

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Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

Ответ агента:

{ "worked": false, "confidence": 9, "verdict": "Implemented the orbital phase recurrent model on the structurally matched dynamics track with eight paired seeds and a parity-preserving three-point learning-rate sweep. The idea had lower mean MSE than the tuned GRU baseline, but the paired permutation test was not significant (p=0.058), so this is not a significant benchmark win. The trained-model mechanism signature was quantitatively confirmed.", "metrics": { "baseline": "rnn_small GRU, best lr=0.01: mean dynamics MSE=0.0001381417, std=0.0000856120, 8 seeds", "idea": "Orbital phase RNN, best lr=0.01: mean dynamics MSE=0.0000483664, std=0.0000163736, 8 seeds", "delta_mean": -8.97753e-05, "paired_permutation_p_value": 0.058, "idea_wins": 6, "n_pairs": 8, "mechanism_predicted_transverse_alpha": -0.00364186, "mechanism_predicted_euler_slope": -0.00364286, "mechanism_observed_perturbation_slope": -0.00456207, "mechanism_confirmed": true }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_experiment.py", "files": [ "bench_experiment.py", "bench_report.json", "bench_stdout.txt" ], "limitations": "Only the built-in dynamics track was tested; no sequential-MNIST, noisy-sine, long-horizon, FLOP-normalized, amplitude-learning, learned-coupling, timestep, or kappa sweeps were run. Baseline tuning used four seeds and final comparison used eight paired seeds. The mechanism signature was measured on one trained idea model (seed 0), not across all seeds.", "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "rnn_small", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 0.0010981352 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 0.000577388 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "mean": 0.0001733368 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.0001381417, "std": 8.5612e-05, "per_seed": [ 0.0002756195, 0.0002542323, 6.92092e-05, 9.42861e-05, 0.0001127048, 4.63816e-05, 5.48022e-05, 0.0001978977 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 4.83664e-05, "std": 1.63736e-05, "per_seed": [ 2.65423e-05, 3.75674e-05, 8.29938e-05, 3.51114e-05, 4.39003e-05, 5.7259e-05, 4.6545e-05, 5.7012e-05 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": -8.97753e-05, "idea_wins": 6, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ -0.0002490772, -0.0002166649, 1.37846e-05, -5.91747e-05, -6.88045e-05, 1.08774e-05, -8.2572e-06, -0.0001408856 ], "p_value": 0.058, "verdict": "no significant win", "system_worked": false }, "idea_sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 0.5228139 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 0.0545972 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01 }, "mean": 4.83664e-05 } ], "protocol": { "epochs": 12, "n_train": 1200, "n_test": 400, "paired_seeds": [ 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 ], "lr_union": [ 0.001, 0.003, 0.01 ], "baseline_best_lr": 0.01, "idea_best_lr": 0.01 }, "mechanism_signature": { "prediction": "stable transverse perturbations should contract with slope near log(1+dt*alpha)/dt", "trained_model": "orbital phase RNN, seed 0, best benchmark lr", "predicted_transverse_alpha": -0.0036418615, "predicted_euler_slope": -0.0036428566, "observed_perturbation_slope": -0.0045620725, "max_edge_angle_rad": 0.25957942, "confirmed": true } }, "system_verdict": "partial", "practical_verdict": "inconclusive", "mechanism_ok": 1, "system_judged": true }