Position-only active-noise optimizer / report_bench_2026-09-03T205113.md

Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten

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Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

Ответ агента:

{ "worked": false, "confidence": 9, "verdict": "The position-only active-noise optimizer was implemented as a matched training-loop intervention on the built-in tabular Friedman regression track with mlp_tiny. It reduced measured lag-1 gradient correlation, confirming the mechanism signature, but the test-MSE improvement was not significant (paired permutation p=0.2587), so there is no demonstrated neural-network win.", "metrics": { "baseline": "Adam, best lr=0.006, 8-seed test MSE mean 7.4583.", "idea": "Kalman residual cancellation, best lr=0.006, 8-seed test MSE mean 7.3881; paired delta=-0.0702, p=0.2587.", "mechanism_signature": { "baseline_raw_grad_lag1_corr": 0.5400456543155014, "raw_grad_lag1_corr": 0.3716290132687427, "corrected_grad_lag1_corr": 0.12645231312280522, "confirmed": true } }, "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "tabular", "model": "mlp_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 15.53538990020752 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 9.415347337722778 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 7.360140562057495 } ], "full": { "mean": 7.4583141803741455, "std": 0.6102747432817298, "per_seed": [ 7.289438247680664, 8.00219440460205, 7.081491947174072, 7.067437648773193, 6.286782264709473, 7.646380424499512, 8.093415260314941, 8.199373245239258 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 7.388119101524353, "std": 0.6041003222700619, "per_seed": [ 6.846275329589844, 7.8614349365234375, 7.108870506286621, 7.15531587600708, 6.309638023376465, 7.587562084499998, 8.090027809143066, 8.145828247070312 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": -0.07019507884979248, "idea_wins": 5, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ -0.4431629180908203, -0.14075946807861328, 0.027378559112548828, 0.08787822723388672, 0.022855758666992188, -0.05881834030151367, -0.003387451171875, -0.05354499816894531 ], "p_value": 0.2587, "mde": 0.13852366888165354, "mde_rel_pct": 1.8573053579073617, "verdict": "no measurable effect", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "baseline_raw_grad_lag1_corr": 0.5400456543155014, "raw_grad_lag1_corr": 0.3716290132687427, "corrected_grad_lag1_corr": 0.12645231312280522, "confirmed": true }, "idea_trials": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 16.191248655319214 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 9.826780676841736 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 7.388119101524353 } ] }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_active_noise.py", "files": [ "bench_active_noise.py", "bench_report.json" ], "limitations": "Only the built-in tabular optimizer track was tested. Persistence, process/observation variances, and cancellation gain were fixed; no vision, sequence, or dynamics transfer test was run.", "system_verdict": "partial", "practical_verdict": "no_effect", "mechanism_ok": 1, "system_judged": true }