Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

Ответ агента:

{ "worked": false, "confidence": 9, "verdict": "The uncertainty-guided family sampler was implemented and tested on the structurally matched tabular Friedman regression track with identical mlp_tiny systems and equal training budgets. Its trained-model allocation-variance prediction was confirmed, but test MSE was slightly worse than the tuned uniform baseline: 9.6101 versus 9.4814, paired delta +0.1286, permutation p=0.61945. Therefore the idea does not give a significant benchmark win.", "metrics": { "baseline": "lr=0.006; test MSE mean 9.4814206362, std 0.9072998646.", "idea": "lr=0.006, epsilon=0.3; test MSE mean 9.6100564003, std 1.0356528913; 4/8 paired wins.", "mechanism_signature": "Predicted allocation variance 0.0982159125, observed proxy 0.0913693272, relative error 6.97%, confirmed=true." }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 stage2_family_bench.py", "files": [ "stage2_family_bench.py", "bench_report.json" ], "limitations": "Only tabular was tested. Families were fixed quantile bins of the first feature; uncertainty was estimated from within-family residual spread rather than ensembles or dropout; the run used 400 training examples, 200 test examples, 12 epochs, and batch size 64. Larger datasets, other tracks, wall-clock efficiency, correlated family noise, and importance-weight variance were not tested.", "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "tabular", "model": "mlp_tiny", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.006 }, "full": { "mean": 9.481420636177063, "std": 0.9072998646400672, "per_seed": [ 8.627572059631348, 8.736048698425293, 8.82056999206543, 10.182208061218262, 8.84079647064209, 9.23827075958252, 11.380922317504883, 10.02497673034668 ] } }, "idea": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "epsilon": 0.3 }, "mean": 9.610056400299072, "std": 1.0356528912793441, "per_seed": [ 9.995634078979492, 8.813212394714355, 8.717215538024902, 9.493178367614746, 8.498827934265137, 9.12738037109375, 11.815202713012695, 10.4197998046875 ] }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.12863576412200928, "p_value": 0.61945, "idea_wins": 4, "n_pairs": 8, "verdict": "no significant win", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "predicted_mean": 0.0982159124687314, "observed_mean": 0.09136932715773582, "relative_error": 0.06970953218171544, "confirmed": true } }, "system_verdict": "partial", "practical_verdict": "no_effect", "mechanism_ok": 1, "system_judged": true }