Disorder-Controlled Basin Merging / report_bench_2026-08-31T114349.md
Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten
Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:
(универсальный)
Ответ агента:
{ "worked": false, "confidence": 10, "verdict": "Implemented a matched ternary disorder recurrent model on the structurally appropriate dynamics track. The RFIM critical-slope check matched Rc=sqrt(2/pi) to 6.16e-13 absolute error, and the trained-model signature confirmed reduced late magnetization above Rc, but the idea significantly worsened task MSE: paired delta +0.03819 with permutation p=0.0081.", "metrics": { "baseline": "Best continuous tanh recurrent baseline, lr=0.01, weight_decay=0: mean test MSE 0.00321310 across 8 seeds.", "idea": "Best ternary disorder recurrent model, lr=0.01, R=1.2: mean test MSE 0.04139929 across 8 seeds.", "paired_delta_mean": 0.03818619274534285, "permutation_p_value": 0.0081, "idea_wins": 0, "mechanism_signature_confirmed": true }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 stage2_disorder_bench.py", "files": [ "stage2_disorder_bench.py", "bench_report.json" ], "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "matched_ternary_rnn", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0, "epochs": 12 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0, "epochs": 12 }, "mean": 0.020193250384181738 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0, "epochs": 12 }, "mean": 0.00683436612598598 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0, "epochs": 12 }, "mean": 0.002462160831782967 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0001, "epochs": 12 }, "mean": 0.006820366135798395 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.001, "epochs": 12 }, "mean": 0.0067008426412940025 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.0032130961772054434, "std": 0.0010584401251843786, "per_seed": [ 0.0025007869116961956, 0.0035816810559481382, 0.0025283501017838717, 0.001237825257703662, 0.0037454410921782255, 0.0029973499476909637, 0.004620881285518408, 0.0044924537651240826 ] } }, "idea": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0, "epochs": 12, "R": 1.2 }, "mean": 0.041399288922548294, "std": 0.005352299829694784, "per_seed": [ 0.043414220213890076, 0.03751295432448387, 0.051180846989154816, 0.048405274748802185, 0.037778589874506, 0.035160426050424576, 0.03840555250644684, 0.039336446672677994 ] }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.03818619274534285, "idea_wins": 0, "n_pairs": 8, "p_value": 0.0081, "verdict": "idea worse (significant)", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "predicted_Rc": 0.7978845608028654, "tested_R": 1.2, "observed_mean_abs_late_m": 0.010480209394700069, "confirmed": true } }, "limitations": "Only the built-in dynamics track was tested; no sequence or tabular transfer, longer training budgets, alternative ternary temperatures/crystal fields, or discrete straight-through sampling was evaluated.", "system_verdict": "partial", "practical_verdict": "harms", "mechanism_ok": 1, "system_judged": true }