Transfer-Spectrum Pseudo-Transition Scheduler / report_bench_2026-08-31T161455.md
Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten
Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:
(универсальный)
Ответ агента:
{ "worked": false, "confidence": 10, "verdict": "The transfer-spectrum scheduler was evaluated against Adam on the registered dynamics/rnn_small benchmark using eight paired seeds and shared hyperparameter grids. It significantly worsened test MSE: paired delta_mean=0.0005634508496541457 and permutation p_value=0.0081, so the required verdict is false. The trained-model mechanism signature triggered on all 64 epoch checks, but this did not produce a task-metric improvement.", "metrics": { "baseline": "8-seed test MSE mean 1.35165529400183e-05", "idea": "8-seed test MSE mean 0.000576967402594164", "paired_delta": "0.0005634508496541457" }, "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "rnn_small", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.0005152521189302206 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 0.000567634284379892 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 4.9621185098658316e-05 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 0.00020817978656850755 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 1.4315585985968937e-05 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 5.317307386576431e-05 } ], "full": { "mean": 1.35165529400183e-05, "std": 3.8039836159720083e-06, "per_seed": [ 1.1310443369438872e-05, 2.1796071450808086e-05, 1.0098720849782694e-05, 1.4057108273846097e-05, 1.5940304365358315e-05, 1.4363434274855535e-05, 1.1481065484986175e-05, 9.085275451070629e-06 ], "n": 8 }, "idea_grid": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.001614412700291723 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 0.0015862095024203882 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.000994522990367841 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 0.0009985761280404404 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.000576967402594164 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0001 }, "mean": 0.000580504653044045 } ] }, "idea": { "mean": 0.000576967402594164, "std": 0.00020098972998599003, "per_seed": [ 0.0005425920826382935, 0.0006804523291066289, 0.0004205087316222489, 0.0007593809277750552, 0.0004023100482299924, 0.00024564965860918164, 0.0009024846949614584, 0.0006623607478104532 ], "n": 8, "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.01, "weight_decay": 0.0 } }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.0005634508496541457, "idea_wins": 0, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ 0.0005312816392688546, 0.0006586562576558208, 0.0004104100107724662, 0.0007453238195012091, 0.0003863697438646341, 0.0002312862243343261, 0.0008910036294764723, 0.0006532754723593825 ], "p_value": 0.0081, "mde": 0.00017979348963317735, "mde_rel_pct": 1330.1726440982216, "verdict": "idea worse (significant)", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "prediction": "low normalized transfer gap with high projection entropy marks a pseudo-transition", "predicted_thresholds": { "gap_lt": 0.12, "entropy_gt": 0.7 }, "observed_mean_gap": 0.01636176293793846, "observed_mean_entropy": 0.9524553120136261, "gap_entropy_correlation": 0.0913397509063977, "trigger_count": 64, "confirmed": true } }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_experiment.py", "files": [ "bench_experiment.py", "bench_report.json", "bench_run.log" ], "limitations": "Only the registered dynamics track and rnn_small model were tested; other tracks and broader scheduler threshold/cadence sweeps were not tested.", "system_verdict": "partial", "practical_verdict": "harms", "mechanism_ok": 1, "system_judged": true }