Collective-Detectability Information Fusion for Asynchronous Latent States / results.json
Beats tuned baseline
1{
2 "seed": 2104,
3 "predictions": {
4 "gramian": "lambda_min=min(1,q), with positivity iff q>0",
5 "noise_scaling": "small-posterior covariance eigenvalue approximately sigma^2",
6 "diffusion": "consensus disagreement ratio is bounded by rho^t"
7 },
8 "gramian": [
9 {
10 "q": 0.0,
11 "observed": 0.0,
12 "predicted": 0.0,
13 "abs_error": 0.0
14 },
15 {
16 "q": 0.05,
17 "observed": 0.05,
18 "predicted": 0.05,
19 "abs_error": 0.0
20 },
21 {
22 "q": 0.1,
23 "observed": 0.1,
24 "predicted": 0.1,
25 "abs_error": 0.0
26 },
27 {
28 "q": 0.25,
29 "observed": 0.25,
30 "predicted": 0.25,
31 "abs_error": 0.0
32 },
33 {
34 "q": 0.5,
35 "observed": 0.5,
36 "predicted": 0.5,
37 "abs_error": 0.0
38 },
39 {
40 "q": 1.0,
41 "observed": 1.0,
42 "predicted": 1.0,
43 "abs_error": 0.0
44 },
45 {
46 "q": 2.0,
47 "observed": 1.0,
48 "predicted": 1.0,
49 "abs_error": 0.0
50 }
51 ],
52 "noise_scaling": [
53 {
54 "sigma": 0.1,
55 "observed": 0.009999999900000002,
56 "predicted": 0.010000000000000002,
57 "ratio": 0.9999999900000001
58 },
59 {
60 "sigma": 0.2,
61 "observed": 0.03999999840000007,
62 "predicted": 0.04000000000000001,
63 "ratio": 0.9999999600000016
64 },
65 {
66 "sigma": 0.5,
67 "observed": 0.24999993750001562,
68 "predicted": 0.25,
69 "ratio": 0.9999997500000625
70 },
71 {
72 "sigma": 1.0,
73 "observed": 0.9999990000010001,
74 "predicted": 1.0,
75 "ratio": 0.9999990000010001
76 },
77 {
78 "sigma": 2.0,
79 "observed": 3.9999840000640003,
80 "predicted": 4.0,
81 "ratio": 0.9999960000160001
82 },
83 {
84 "sigma": 4.0,
85 "observed": 15.999744004095934,
86 "predicted": 16.0,
87 "ratio": 0.9999840002559959
88 }
89 ],
90 "diffusion": {
91 "rho": 0.5000000000000001,
92 "rows": [
93 {
94 "rounds": 1,
95 "observed_ratio": 0.15811388300841897,
96 "predicted_bound": 0.5000000000000001,
97 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168379
98 },
99 {
100 "rounds": 2,
101 "observed_ratio": 0.07905694150420949,
102 "predicted_bound": 0.2500000000000001,
103 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168378
104 },
105 {
106 "rounds": 3,
107 "observed_ratio": 0.03952847075210474,
108 "predicted_bound": 0.12500000000000008,
109 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168377
110 },
111 {
112 "rounds": 5,
113 "observed_ratio": 0.009882117688026186,
114 "predicted_bound": 0.031250000000000035,
115 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168376
116 },
117 {
118 "rounds": 8,
119 "observed_ratio": 0.0012352647110032732,
120 "predicted_bound": 0.003906250000000007,
121 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168374
122 },
123 {
124 "rounds": 12,
125 "observed_ratio": 7.720404443770458e-05,
126 "predicted_bound": 0.00024414062500000065,
127 "ratio_to_bound": 0.3162277660168371
128 },
129 {
130 "rounds": 20,
131 "observed_ratio": 3.015782985847835e-07,
132 "predicted_bound": 9.536743164062542e-07,
133 "ratio_to_bound": 0.31622776601683655
134 }
135 ]
136 },
137 "fusion_mse": {
138 "information_diffusion": 0.19808281555717885,
139 "arithmetic_mean": 0.19743105589453624
140 }
141}