Bifurcation-Calibrated Stale-Gradient Controller / report_bench_2026-09-01T115110.md
Failed on benchmark
Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:
(универсальный)
Ответ агента:
{ "worked": false, "confidence": 10, "verdict": "The registered dynamics/rnn_small benchmark used eight paired seeds and a tuned Adam baseline sweep. Adam at lr=0.006 achieved mean test MSE 0.0020863, while the selected delayed two-mode SGD controller at lr=0.006 and delay=4 achieved 0.0185836; paired delta was +0.0164973 with permutation p=0.1486, so the idea did not win. The trained-model signature was also not confirmed: observed delay-amplitude slope -0.0009415 versus predicted 0.25.", "metrics": { "baseline": "Adam on registered dynamics/rnn_small; sweep lr={0.001,0.003,0.006}; best lr=0.006, mean MSE 0.0020863087.", "idea": "Delayed two-mode SGD, lr=0.006, delay=4; mean MSE 0.0185835635, paired delta +0.0164972548, p=0.1486, 2/8 wins." }, "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "rnn_small", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_config": { "lr": 0.006 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.001 }, "mean": 0.004955001320922747 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003 }, "mean": 0.00297580796177499 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006 }, "mean": 0.0020863086683675647 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.0020863086683675647, "std": 0.00045500750701757853, "per_seed": [ 0.0018287990242242813, 0.0014274335699155927, 0.0014271392719820142, 0.002110177418217063, 0.002619170816615224, 0.0024625908117741346, 0.002196874236688018, 0.00261828419752419 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "config": { "lr": 0.006, "delay": 4 }, "per_seed": [ 0.003938712179660797, 0.0016923155635595322, 0.0017820197390392423, 0.000892799231223762, 0.05783765763044357, 0.07740116119384766, 0.003681593108922243, 0.0014422490494325757 ], "mean": 0.018583563462016173 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.016497254793648608, "idea_wins": 2, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ 0.002109913155436516, 0.0002648819936439395, 0.0003548804670572281, -0.001217378186993301, 0.05521848681382835, 0.07493857038207352, 0.0014847188722342253, -0.0011760351480916142 ], "p_value": 0.1486, "verdict": "no significant win", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "prediction": "cycle amplitude approximately follows mu^(1/M), with M=4 for n=q=1", "predicted_exponent": 0.25, "observed_delay_plus_one_loglog_slope": -0.0009415027279748768, "amplitude_by_delay": { "0": 0.00010812481520919455, "2": 0.00010821067043065237, "4": 0.00010790639975175029 }, "return_slope_mean": -0.04708371831531154, "confirmed": false } }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_experiment.py", "files": [ "bench_experiment.py", "bench_report.json" ], "limitations": "Only the registered dynamics track with rnn_small, 12 epochs, 400 training examples, 400 test examples, and delays {0,2,4} were tested. Online return-map coefficient fitting, adaptive safety capping, hysteresis, larger models, wall-clock speed, and other tracks were not tested.", "system_verdict": "failed", "practical_verdict": "inconclusive", "mechanism_ok": 0, "system_judged": true }