Value-Gradient Trajectory Collocation / bench_report.json

Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten

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  1{
  2  "bench_version": 1,
  3  "track": "dynamics",
  4  "model": "rnn_small",
  5  "metric_direction": "lower is better",
  6  "n_seeds": 8,
  7  "baseline": {
  8    "best_cfg": {
  9      "lr": 0.001,
 10      "alpha": 0.7,
 11      "sigma": 0.035
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 22      {
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 25          "alpha": 0.7,
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 28        "mean": 0.8293724805116653
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 30      {
 31        "cfg": {
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 33          "alpha": 0.7,
 34          "sigma": 0.035
 35        },
 36        "mean": 0.8328554034233093
 37      }
 38    ],
 39    "full": {
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 41      "std": 0.06788976443931306,
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 47        0.7518438100814819,
 48        0.7541651725769043,
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 50        0.6671198606491089
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 52      "n": 8
 53    }
 54  },
 55  "idea": {
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 68    "n": 8
 69  },
 70  "comparison": {
 71    "delta_mean": 0.006642088294029236,
 72    "idea_wins": 3,
 73    "n_pairs": 8,
 74    "per_seed_diffs": [
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 84    "p_value": 0.4855,
 85    "mde": 0.0199747259489214,
 86    "mde_rel_pct": 2.5364691959529213,
 87    "verdict": "no measurable effect",
 88    "system_worked": false
 89  },
 90  "mechanism_signature": {
 91    "idea_config": {
 92      "lr": 0.001,
 93      "alpha": 0.7,
 94      "sigma": 0.035
 95    },
 96    "idea_sweep": [
 97      {
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100          "alpha": 0.7,
101          "sigma": 0.035
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103        "result": {
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114            0.6660270690917969
115          ],
116          "n": 8
117        }
118      },
119      {
120        "cfg": {
121          "lr": 0.003,
122          "alpha": 0.7,
123          "sigma": 0.035
124        },
125        "result": {
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128          "per_seed": [
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132            0.9598079919815063,
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134            0.7834799289703369,
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138          "n": 8
139        }
140      },
141      {
142        "cfg": {
143          "lr": 0.01,
144          "alpha": 0.7,
145          "sigma": 0.035
146        },
147        "result": {
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150          "per_seed": [
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157            0.8118025064468384,
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159          ],
160          "n": 8
161        }
162      }
163    ],
164    "sampler": "feedback pendulum rollout + Gaussian exploration + uniform reservoir",
165    "mechanism_signature": {
166      "prediction": "gradient sign predicts which bounded control increases model-predicted next angle",
167      "observed_sign_agreement": 1.0,
168      "predicted_threshold": 0.75,
169      "confirmed": true
170    },
171    "protocol_note": "8 paired seeds; baseline and idea share rnn_small, Adam, epochs, batch, and lr union."
172  }
173}