Knieper Rollout Stability Metric / report_bench_2026-09-01T135753.md

Failed on benchmark

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Стенд-проверка (stage-2) · промт оператора:

(универсальный)

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{ "worked": false, "confidence": 10, "verdict": "On the registered dynamics track with matched rnn_small GRUs, baseline test MSE was 0.0486428 and the best rollout-regularized model was 0.0512108. The paired delta was +0.0025680 with permutation p=0.3862, so there was no significant win; observed mean G_H reduction was only 1.61%.", "metrics": { "baseline": "mean test MSE 0.0486427885, best lr 0.006", "idea": "mean test MSE 0.0512108102, lr 0.006 lambda 0.01, mean G_H reduction 1.61%" }, "how_to_run": "/home/maxwelhelp/main/bin/python3 bench_run.py", "files": [ "bench_run.py", "bench_report.json", "bench_rerun_stdout.txt" ], "limitations": "Only the built-in dynamics track was tested, with 5 epochs, 400 training samples, 200 test samples, hidden size 16, and three lambda values.", "bench_report": { "bench_version": 1, "track": "dynamics", "model": "rnn_small", "metric_direction": "lower is better", "n_seeds": 8, "baseline": { "best_cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "lambda": 0.0 }, "sweep": [ { "cfg": { "lr": 0.0015, "lambda": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.506593436 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.003, "lambda": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.2647205312 }, { "cfg": { "lr": 0.006, "lambda": 0.0 }, "mean": 0.0521660326 } ], "full": { "mean": 0.0486427885, "std": 0.0287376147, "per_seed": [ 0.0217558369, 0.0447821245, 0.1145907119, 0.0275354572, 0.0516934171, 0.0666447207, 0.0389237702, 0.0232162699 ], "n": 8 } }, "idea": { "mean": 0.0512108102, "std": 0.027750063, "per_seed": [ 0.0223312899, 0.0439333729, 0.1131841168, 0.0289944354, 0.0659129694, 0.0648630708, 0.0388531983, 0.0316140279 ], "n": 8 }, "comparison": { "delta_mean": 0.0025680216, "idea_wins": 4, "n_pairs": 8, "per_seed_diffs": [ 0.000575453, -0.0008487515, -0.0014065951, 0.0014589783, 0.0142195523, -0.0017816499, -7.05719e-05, 0.008397758 ], "p_value": 0.3862, "verdict": "no significant win", "system_worked": false }, "mechanism_signature": { "H": 8, "baseline_mean_GH": 0.5347721577, "idea_mean_GH": 0.5261865258, "observed_relative_reduction": 0.0160547473, "confirmed": false } }, "system_verdict": "failed", "practical_verdict": "inconclusive", "mechanism_ok": 0, "system_judged": true }