Ordered Diffusion Message Passing / bench_report.json

Mechanism confirmed, baseline not beaten

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  1{
  2  "bench_version": 1,
  3  "track": "sequence",
  4  "model": "ordered_diffusion_sequence",
  5  "metric_direction": "lower is better",
  6  "n_seeds": 8,
  7  "baseline": {
  8    "best_cfg": {
  9      "lr": 0.001,
 10      "beta": 0.0
 11    },
 12    "sweep": [
 13      {
 14        "cfg": {
 15          "lr": 0.001,
 16          "beta": 0.0
 17        },
 18        "mean": 0.07924088463187218
 19      },
 20      {
 21        "cfg": {
 22          "lr": 0.003,
 23          "beta": 0.0
 24        },
 25        "mean": 0.09628596156835556
 26      },
 27      {
 28        "cfg": {
 29          "lr": 0.006,
 30          "beta": 0.0
 31        },
 32        "mean": 0.19720600172877312
 33      }
 34    ],
 35    "full": {
 36      "mean": 0.07760142162442207,
 37      "std": 0.006118742941324521,
 38      "per_seed": [
 39        0.07903548330068588,
 40        0.07285989820957184,
 41        0.07350674271583557,
 42        0.09156141430139542,
 43        0.07591164112091064,
 44        0.07749377191066742,
 45        0.0801774188876152,
 46        0.07026500254869461
 47      ],
 48      "n": 8
 49    }
 50  },
 51  "idea": {
 52    "mean": 0.07684254180639982,
 53    "std": 0.0054380881863217555,
 54    "per_seed": [
 55      0.07450506091117859,
 56      0.07289530336856842,
 57      0.07336334884166718,
 58      0.08876381069421768,
 59      0.07585369050502777,
 60      0.07825427502393723,
 61      0.08079726994037628,
 62      0.07030757516622543
 63    ],
 64    "n": 8
 65  },
 66  "comparison": {
 67    "delta_mean": -0.0007588798180222511,
 68    "idea_wins": 4,
 69    "n_pairs": 8,
 70    "per_seed_diffs": [
 71      -0.004530422389507294,
 72      3.540515899658203e-05,
 73      -0.000143393874168396,
 74      -0.0027976036071777344,
 75      -5.7950615882873535e-05,
 76      0.0007605031132698059,
 77      0.0006198510527610779,
 78      4.2572617530822754e-05
 79    ],
 80    "p_value": 0.42205,
 81    "mde": 0.0015717432149880194,
 82    "mde_rel_pct": 2.0254051821305468,
 83    "verdict": "no measurable effect",
 84    "system_worked": false
 85  },
 86  "mechanism_signature": {
 87    "mechanism_signature": {
 88      "beta": 0.75,
 89      "epsilon": 9.0,
 90      "observed_drift_over_eps": 0.010957256890833378,
 91      "predicted_drift_over_eps": 0.0006128650275059044,
 92      "absolute_error": 0.010344391863327473,
 93      "entropy": 2.350996971130371,
 94      "confirmed": true
 95    },
 96    "track_choice": "sequence: the mechanism is local message passing over multi-token temporal correlations, not a single-token task.",
 97    "idea_sweep": [
 98      {
 99        "cfg": {
100          "lr": 0.001,
101          "beta": 0.75
102        },
103        "mean": 0.07738188095390797
104      },
105      {
106        "cfg": {
107          "lr": 0.003,
108          "beta": 1.0
109        },
110        "mean": 0.09474318288266659
111      },
112      {
113        "cfg": {
114          "lr": 0.006,
115          "beta": 1.25
116        },
117        "mean": 0.19016914442181587
118      }
119    ],
120    "selected_cfg": {
121      "lr": 0.001,
122      "beta": 0.75
123    }
124  }
125}