Gumbel escape-time controller / results.json
Failed on benchmark
1{
2 "seed": 2901,
3 "predictions": {
4 "threshold_tau_c": 1.5707963267948966,
5 "estimated_threshold": 1.570796326794536,
6 "threshold_relative_error": 2.295653690087445e-13,
7 "beta_times_r_target": 1.0,
8 "log_boundary_slope_target": 2.2222222222222223,
9 "gumbel_vs_exponential_rule": "AIC_gumbel < AIC_exponential and KS p > 0.05"
10 },
11 "root_sweep": [
12 {
13 "tau": 1.2566370614359172,
14 "real": -0.12573540609416542,
15 "imag": 1.1644016526924585,
16 "predicted_unstable": false
17 },
18 {
19 "tau": 1.4922565104551517,
20 "real": -0.02443200056302731,
21 "imag": 1.036843769970623,
22 "predicted_unstable": false
23 },
24 {
25 "tau": 1.5707963267948966,
26 "real": -7.10324548054366e-18,
27 "imag": -1.0,
28 "predicted_unstable": false
29 },
30 {
31 "tau": 1.6493361431346414,
32 "real": 0.021073068658481905,
33 "imag": 0.9656105811341521,
34 "predicted_unstable": true
35 },
36 {
37 "tau": 1.8849555921538759,
38 "real": 0.06910693847693873,
39 "imag": -0.8751397397549342,
40 "predicted_unstable": true
41 }
42 ],
43 "gumbel_sweep": [
44 {
45 "mu": 22.899219004228403,
46 "beta": 4.979128996981144,
47 "ks_p": 0.6961633662172784,
48 "aic_gumbel": 3249.9939809642065,
49 "aic_exponential": 4350.834577675039,
50 "beta_r": 0.9958257993962288,
51 "r": 0.2
52 },
53 {
54 "mu": 13.113619077378534,
55 "beta": 2.872144791323946,
56 "ks_p": 0.7805751088570765,
57 "aic_gumbel": 2698.3098811361333,
58 "aic_exponential": 3783.1005105542718,
59 "beta_r": 1.005250676963381,
60 "r": 0.35
61 },
62 {
63 "mu": 7.6195036211472145,
64 "beta": 1.6071664486991366,
65 "ks_p": 0.37142651462846954,
66 "aic_gumbel": 2106.5897575083072,
67 "aic_exponential": 3223.4087309187253,
68 "beta_r": 0.964299869219482,
69 "r": 0.6
70 },
71 {
72 "mu": 5.102563940438067,
73 "beta": 1.1660907489370607,
74 "ks_p": 0.7542920483477772,
75 "aic_gumbel": 1788.701877180309,
76 "aic_exponential": 2824.2163766962153,
77 "beta_r": 1.0494816740433546,
78 "r": 0.9
79 }
80 ],
81 "log_boundary_scaling": {
82 "points": [
83 [
84 2.995732273553991,
85 7.850466447855373
86 ],
87 [
88 4.605170185988092,
89 11.34887567986559
90 ],
91 [
92 6.214608098422191,
93 15.142929000760951
94 ],
95 [
96 7.824046010856292,
97 18.646111215843536
98 ]
99 ],
100 "slope": 2.2480511578194418,
101 "predicted": 2.2222222222222223
102 },
103 "controller": [
104 {
105 "mu": 29.78152884994886,
106 "beta": 7.029801797027441,
107 "ks_p": 0.8051184263621931,
108 "aic_gumbel": 228.82771118744037,
109 "aic_exponential": 291.1914595015935,
110 "beta_r": 1.1247682875243907,
111 "r": 0.16,
112 "accept": false,
113 "validation_improves": false
114 },
115 {
116 "mu": 13.011875538383624,
117 "beta": 2.3302674340811835,
118 "ks_p": 0.8498758477820716,
119 "aic_gumbel": 163.70006701986068,
120 "aic_exponential": 237.25571611542208,
121 "beta_r": 0.8155936019284142,
122 "r": 0.35,
123 "accept": true,
124 "validation_improves": true
125 },
126 {
127 "mu": 8.681993437446744,
128 "beta": 2.046282476565019,
129 "ks_p": 0.7846338354682789,
130 "aic_gumbel": 150.9698886271698,
131 "aic_exponential": 212.52549041752806,
132 "beta_r": 1.1254553621107606,
133 "r": 0.55,
134 "accept": true,
135 "validation_improves": true
136 }
137 ],
138 "notes": "Synthetic extreme-value seed tests the stated mechanism directly; ordinary Gaussian seeds are not claimed to be exactly Gumbel."
139}