Critical-Tail Multiscale Mixer / bench_report.json
Beats tuned baseline
1{
2 "bench_version": 1,
3 "track": "sequence",
4 "model": "transformer_tiny",
5 "metric_direction": "lower is better",
6 "n_seeds": 8,
7 "baseline": {
8 "best_cfg": {
9 "lr": 0.001,
10 "epochs": 18
11 },
12 "sweep": [
13 {
14 "cfg": {
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16 "epochs": 18
17 },
18 "mean": 0.379791796207428
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20 {
21 "cfg": {
22 "lr": 0.003,
23 "epochs": 18
24 },
25 "mean": 0.43505316227674484
26 },
27 {
28 "cfg": {
29 "lr": 0.006,
30 "epochs": 18
31 },
32 "mean": 0.5298176184296608
33 }
34 ],
35 "full": {
36 "mean": 0.3913392685353756,
37 "std": 0.03427539180539238,
38 "per_seed": [
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40 0.31817880272865295,
41 0.38973456621170044,
42 0.4183553159236908,
43 0.3854232728481293,
44 0.4126569330692291,
45 0.44099482893943787,
46 0.3724719285964966
47 ],
48 "n": 8
49 }
50 },
51 "idea": {
52 "mean": 0.22923117503523827,
53 "std": 0.03083903278155792,
54 "per_seed": [
55 0.2540016770362854,
56 0.19434939324855804,
57 0.2264380156993866,
58 0.25375083088874817,
59 0.20073968172073364,
60 0.2046380639076233,
61 0.2879960834980011,
62 0.21193565428256989
63 ],
64 "n": 8
65 },
66 "comparison": {
67 "delta_mean": -0.16210809350013733,
68 "idea_wins": 8,
69 "n_pairs": 8,
70 "per_seed_diffs": [
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72 -0.12382940948009491,
73 -0.16329655051231384,
74 -0.16460448503494263,
75 -0.18468359112739563,
76 -0.20801886916160583,
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79 ],
80 "p_value": 0.0081,
81 "mde": 0.021699918431380794,
82 "mde_rel_pct": 5.545039860833492,
83 "verdict": "idea better (significant)",
84 "system_worked": true
85 },
86 "math_sanity": [
87 {
88 "R": 8,
89 "ratio": 0.9789600837710886
90 },
91 {
92 "R": 32,
93 "ratio": 0.9958617558725931
94 },
95 {
96 "R": 128,
97 "ratio": 0.9992112587895055
98 },
99 {
100 "R": 512,
101 "ratio": 0.9998442233803077
102 }
103 ],
104 "idea_sweep": [
105 {
106 "cfg": {
107 "lr": 0.001,
108 "epochs": 18
109 },
110 "mean": 0.2617868036031723
111 },
112 {
113 "cfg": {
114 "lr": 0.003,
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116 },
117 "mean": 0.23213497921824455
118 },
119 {
120 "cfg": {
121 "lr": 0.006,
122 "epochs": 18
123 },
124 "mean": 0.23712797462940216
125 }
126 ],
127 "track_justification": "Sequence forecast has multi-token correlations and is the mandated structural match for attention/SSM ideas.",
128 "mechanism_signature": {
129 "prediction": "dyadic tail should preserve more distant influence than standard local/attention-free mixing",
130 "baseline_observed": {
131 "near_influence": 0.013201632536947727,
132 "far_influence": 0.058944083750247955,
133 "far_near_ratio": 4.464908683135576
134 },
135 "idea_observed": {
136 "near_influence": 0.006817104294896126,
137 "far_influence": 0.08620527386665344,
138 "far_near_ratio": 12.645438609256532
139 },
140 "predicted_far_near_ratio_idea_gt_baseline": true,
141 "confirmed": true
142 }
143}